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WSJ Wednesday: Knowledge Crunch – Have Prediction Markets Turn into Extra In style Over Time?

whysavetoday by whysavetoday
November 4, 2026
in financial News
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WSJ Wednesday: Knowledge Crunch – Have Prediction Markets Turn into Extra In style Over Time?
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In early 2024, Kalshi’s month-to-month buying and selling quantity barely registered on a chart. By the beginning of 2026, the prediction market was dealing with near $4 billion in trades in a single month. On Election Day, college students may even see these platforms’ advertisements and the percentages they posted on the races.

Within the Knowledge Crunch, Have Prediction Markets Turn into Extra In style Over Time?, college students will evaluate the month-to-month buying and selling quantity of Polymarket and Kalshi from 2024 to 2026 and reply questions in regards to the occasions behind the most important spikes and the dangers that include this sort of development.

 

Bar chart titled "Monthly trading volume of Polymarket and competitor Kalshi," showing monthly data from early 2024 through early 2026. The y-axis is measured in billions of dollars (up to $4 billion). Two bars appear side-by-side each month — teal for Polymarket and gray for Kalshi. Four key events are annotated:  June 27, 2024 — Trump-Biden debate: Both platforms show near-zero volume through mid-2024. Nov. 5, 2024 — Presidential election: Polymarket spikes to approximately $1.1 billion; Kalshi reaches approximately $0.5 billion. Both drop sharply the following month. Oct. 7, 2025 — NYSE owner announces Polymarket investment. Dec. 3, 2025 — U.S. app launches.  Monthly approximate values through 2025 (Polymarket / Kalshi):  Jan 2025: $0.6B / $0.05B Feb–May 2025: $0.3–0.4B / $0.05–0.1B Jun 2025: $0.35B / $0.2B Jul 2025: $0.4B / $0.25B Aug 2025: $0.4B / $0.35B Sep 2025: $1.2B / $1.35B Oct 2025: $1.5B / $1.9B Nov 2025: $2.1B / $2.5B Dec 2025–Jan 2026: $2.8B / $4B+  Note: Figures are based on the price of each contract traded, not the notional value of $1 per contract. Volumes from Polymarket's new U.S. platform are excluded.

 

Click on these hyperlinks to entry the article supply, knowledge crunch, and reply key

Full Wall Avenue Journal Supply Article | NGPF Knowledge Crunch + Reply Key

This knowledge crunch pairs effectively with NGPF’s Playing and Sports activities Betting Unit.


This useful resource was created by way of NGPF’s partnership with Dow Jones, bringing prime quality monetary journalism into private finance school rooms throughout the nation totally free.

Each WSJ Wednesday, NGPF will spotlight a classroom-ready article, video, or knowledge crunch useful resource from the Wall Avenue Journal, MarketWatch, or Barron’s, together with a pupil information, dialogue questions, and a solution key.

About
the Writer

Yonathan Tadesse

Yonathan is a Dallas-based Curriculum Designer at NGPF with 12 years of expertise as a highschool math, faculty transition, and monetary literacy instructor. An award-winning educator, he has a observe file of launching revolutionary applications at the highschool stage that broaden entry and alternative for college kids. He’s a graduate of Emory College and is keen about advancing monetary training for all college students. Outdoors of labor, Yonathan loves spending time together with his spouse and two youngsters, figuring out, taking part in chess and poker, and studying new issues.


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