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The pitfalls of evaluating portfolio returns

whysavetoday by whysavetoday
September 3, 2025
in Investment
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The pitfalls of evaluating portfolio returns
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Investing can really feel like a leap of religion. You choose a portfolio. You deposit cash.

Then, you wait.

Bother is, it takes some time for compound development to do its factor. Utilizing the Rule of 72 and historic inventory returns, it takes roughly a decade for each greenback invested to double.

That’s quite a lot of time for second-guessing. You might peek at your portfolio returns and surprise, “May I be doing higher?”

Don’t fear; it’s regular to query whether or not we’re making the proper decisions with our cash.

However evaluating completely different portfolios may be tough. Variables abound. There’s the composition of the portfolios themselves, but additionally their charges and tax therapies.

So whether or not you’re sizing us up with rival cash managers, or with the inventory indexes you see most frequently within the information, we’re right here that will help you stage set.

The ABCs of apples-to-apples comparisons

Let’s begin with a statistic we’re fairly pleased with:

Since launching in 2011, our 90% inventory Core Portfolio has delivered over 9.0% returns*.

These are the returns of actual Betterment clients, minus charges, and taking the timing of deposits and withdrawals out of the equation. This helps focus extra on the efficiency of the portfolio itself.

*As of 12/31/2024, and inception date 9/7/2011. Composite annual time-weighted returns: 12.7% over 1 12 months, 7.9% over 5 years, and seven.8% over 10 years. Composite efficiency calculated based mostly on the dollar-weighted common of precise shopper time-weighted returns for the Core portfolio at 90/10 allocation, internet of charges, contains dividend reinvestment, and excludes the influence of money flows. Previous efficiency not assured, investing includes threat.

So, is 9.0% good? Effectively, it will depend on the comparability.

Inventory indexes just like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones dominate the information, however they’re hardly complete.

For one, they exclude bonds, a lower-yield staple of many portfolios. There’s a motive why whatever the portfolio, we advocate holding a minimum of some bonds. They assist mood market volatility and protect treasured capital.

Secondly, standard indexes additionally largely ignore worldwide markets. The S&P, for instance, sometimes represents lower than half the worth of all investable shares on the planet.

An animation of apple and orange coins balancing on a scale.

Our globally-diversified portfolios, in the meantime, unfold issues out in service of a smoother investing journey. We’re constructed for the long term, and historical past has proven that American and Worldwide belongings take turns outperforming one another each 10-15 years.

So the modest quantity of worldwide publicity in lots of our portfolios means this: you are in a greater place to revenue when the pendulum swings the opposite manner.

Now, taking all of this to coronary heart is not straightforward. Not when the S&P returns 20% in a given 12 months. At moments like these, it’s completely regular to really feel FOMO when trying on the returns of your globally-hedged investing. To maintain the religion, it helps to maintain the proper benchmark(s) in thoughts.

Not all diversification is created equal

We’re not alone in providing globally-diversified portfolios. However two portfolios, even with comparable stock-to-bond ratios, can take very completely different paths to the identical finish objective. Tax optimization, market timing, and fund charges can all influence your investing’s backside line as nicely.

Some traders examine suppliers by investing a little bit with every, ready a number of months, then evaluating the balances. This type of trialing, nevertheless, might not let you know a lot.

Relating to our portfolios, yow will discover higher comparisons in two specific ETFs that search to trace a large swath of the market: ACWI for shares and AGG for bonds. See how your Betterment portfolio stacks up towards them within the Efficiency part for any objective or account. Merely scroll all the way down to “Portfolio returns,” click on “Add comparability,” and choose from the out there allocations of shares and bonds.

An illustration of Betterment's Portfolio returns user interface.

We present your “Complete return” by default at Betterment, in any other case often called the portfolio’s whole development for a given time interval. You may also see this expressed as an “Annualized” return, or the yearly development fee you typically see marketed with different investments.

Placing your efficiency in perspective

Comparability would be the thief of pleasure, but it surely’s okay, prudent even, to guage your investing returns every now and then. A couple of times a 12 months is loads.

The hot button is to avoid widespread pitfalls alongside the way in which. Like evaluating your globally-diversified apple to another person’s all-U.S. orange. Or cherry-picking a small pattern dimension as a substitute of an extended, more-reliable observe document.

It’s simpler stated than achieved. That’s why we bake extra related comparisons proper into the Betterment app. It’s additionally why we produce content material like this. As a result of if there’s a silver lining to the gradual snowballing of compound development, it’s that you’ve loads of time to brush up on the fundamentals.



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