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Sir Lucian Grainge talks AI technique, Downtown, D2C, superfans, and extra on UMG’s newest earnings name

whysavetoday by whysavetoday
March 6, 2026
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Sir Lucian Grainge talks AI technique, Downtown, D2C, superfans, and extra on UMG’s newest earnings name
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Common Music Group revealed its This fall and full-year 2025 monetary outcomes on Thursday (March 5), posting practically 9% YoY progress in each income and Adjusted EBITDA for the complete 12 months.

The corporate’s This fall revenues, in the meantime, reached €3.605 billion ($4.19bn) — up 10.6% YoY at fixed forex.

On the earnings name that adopted, UMG’s management workforce outlined the corporate’s monetary efficiency and methods round AI partnerships, superfan and direct-to-consumer initiatives, geographic enlargement, and the combination of its lately closed Downtown Music acquisition.

On the latter level, Chairman and CEO Sir Lucian Grainge made a hanging comparability. “Our final acquisition of this magnitude was EMI in 2011,” he informed analysts.

“On the time, we noticed the worth that others didn’t and doubled down on the normal A&R and catalog enterprise. Right now, 15 years later, that acquisition is universally acknowledged as some of the profitable and strategically vital within the historical past of the music business.

“I firmly imagine that our acquisition of Downtown shall be as transformational. It creates a scalable and worthwhile engine of progress that additionally elevates UMG’s core label, publishing, and superfan companies, enabling us to raised cowl the complete music business.”

The robust quarter was pushed by the inventive and business performances of artists together with Taylor Swift, the KPop Demon Hunters, Olivia Dean, Stray Children and Morgan Wallen.

Grainge pointed to the IFPI‘s annual rating of the world’s best-selling artists, noting that 9 of the Prime 10 in 2025 had been UMG artists — the third consecutive 12 months the corporate had achieved that outcome. “As you let that astonishing truth sink in, let me throw in one other one,” he informed analysts. “The one recording artist whom we didn’t signify is Dangerous Bunny, and he’s represented by our music publishing division.”

The inventive efficiency framed a name wherein Grainge was as centered on UMG’s future trajectory as on its 2025 outcomes. “We made glorious progress throughout our strategic initiatives and continued our lengthy, uninterrupted streak of robust monetary progress,” he mentioned, earlier than outlining 4 areas — artist and label providers, geographic enlargement, superfan initiatives, and AI — that he described because the pillars of UMG’s subsequent part of progress.

“We’ll make daring strikes in 4 key areas of our strategic plan,” he informed analysts, “every of which is able to create significant monetization alternatives, driving progress throughout a complete, interconnected ecosystem.”

Listed below are 4 different issues we discovered from UMG’s This fall and full-year 2025 earnings name.

‘AI isn’t simply an incremental income alternative. It will introduce completely new codecs.’

Grainge used the AI part of his opening remarks to push again in opposition to what he known as a misreading of the know-how’s implications for UMG and the broader music business.

“I’m very conscious that a big swath of the funding neighborhood appears to be like on the intersection of AI and media and sees solely threat,” he mentioned. “Let me be clear: we essentially disagree with that view. We imagine AI presents unprecedented business alternatives for UMG and our artists in each the near- and long-term. We’re working tirelessly to form the enterprise fashions, and the authorized and legislative frameworks, that may kind the muse of a accountable AI ecosystem.”

He went on: “Our embrace of accountable AI applied sciences continues to be very aggressive. We’re forging partnerships throughout a spectrum of artist creation and fan engagement initiatives. I encourage folks to spend the time to actually perceive the work being completed and the alternatives that lie forward. Personally, I’ve by no means been extra energized concerning the potentialities we’re pursuing.”

In 2025, UMG struck offers with AI firms together with Udio, Stability AI and Klay Imaginative and prescient — whose giant music mannequin he famous is “educated completely on licensed music.” In December, UMG struck a cope with music-making platform Splice. “Collectively, we’re constructing a roadmap for the event of economic AI instruments rooted in inventive management and sonic excellence,” mentioned Grainge.

“I’m very conscious that a big swath of the funding neighborhood appears to be like on the intersection of AI and media and sees solely threat. Let me be clear: we essentially disagree with that view.”

Sir Lucian Grainge

He highlighted UMG’s partnership with NVIDIA, introduced in January, as the latest addition to that portfolio — describing a shared ambition to remodel the music expertise “for billions of music followers around the globe” and quoting NVIDIA’s personal framing of the deal: “We’re coming into an period the place a music catalog may be explored like an clever universe — conversational, contextual, and genuinely interactive… And we’ll do it the fitting means: responsibly, with safeguards that defend artists’ work, guarantee attribution, and respect copyright.”

Grainge described the NVIDIA collaboration as “a multi-year partnership” that may “create vital win-win potential in market-led options.”

He added that UMG’s “technique for these AI offers is knowledgeable by a big quantity of shopper analysis, each our personal and third celebration”. He added: ‘We’re simply not sticking our finger within the wind. Our Insights workforce lately performed a worldwide examine on shopper attitudes in direction of AI and music. The important thing takeaway is that buyers need AI pushed by human intent, or AI as an enhancement of, and never as a alternative for, human creativity. Plus shoppers are asking for transparency with respect to how AI is used within the creation of music.

“This analysis underscores our perception that AI isn’t simply an incremental income alternative. It’s going to introduce completely new codecs. The superfan AI expertise I discussed earlier at just the start. We see completely new AI codecs that may supply followers better personalization, hyper-personalization and social expression by means of artist-centric music experiences.”

‘We’re seeing no indication that AI royalty dilution is a fabric difficulty for UMG from a income perspective.’

On the decision, Michael Nash, Govt Vice President and Chief Digital Officer at UMG, addressed fears about AI income dilution, presenting investor presentation information displaying that the highest 10 AI acts of 2025 — as recognized by Billboard and Luminate — ranked between #7,049 and #92,141 globally, accounting for lower than 0.015% of complete streams for the highest 50,000 within the US.

“Probably the most outstanding AI content material barely registers.”

Michael Nash, uMG

“Consumption of this high 10 has been immaterial,” he mentioned. “Probably the most streamed act [barely broke] into the highest 7,000 globally in 2025. Within the mixture, probably the most outstanding AI content material barely registers, even within the main marketplace for this English language repertoire, totaling lower than [a fraction] of the p.c of the streams of the highest artists within the US final 12 months.”



Nash then turned to what he described as a market actuality slightly than a theoretical future threat. “Some commentators say, that’s proper now — what concerning the future?” he mentioned.

“We don’t need to theorize about the way forward for AI saturation because it’s develop into a market actuality, with 60,000 AI tracks being uploaded a day at current. What impression is the streaming of those tracks having on our income? Most of this content material is AI slop, or fraud fodder related to royalty diversion schemes,” he mentioned.

“We don’t need to theorize about the way forward for AI saturation because it’s develop into a market actuality.”

Michael Nash, UMG

“85% of AI streams on one consultant platform, Deezer, had been recognized as fraud after which excluded from royalty allocation. Apple lately reported that its efforts to deal with the flood of AI uploads included exclusion of two billion fraudulent streams final 12 months. Platforms like Spotify have additionally outright eliminated tens of tens of millions of spamming AI tracks from their providers. So regardless of the large quantity of AI uploads, the mixture natural consumption of AI content material by precise shoppers is lower than half of 1%, based mostly on the perfect out there information.”

In response to Nash, contractual protections throughout UMG’s platform offers — together with anti-AI dilution provisions — imply that “pure AI-generated content material is faraway from the calculation of share of streams by the DSP for functions of figuring out our artist royalties.” His conclusion: “We’re seeing no indication that AI royalty dilution is a fabric difficulty for UMG from a income perspective.”



UMG’s personal shopper analysis — a survey of 28,000 folks throughout 13 international locations — discovered that 69% of music streamers specific disinterest in AI artists versus simply 11% who specific curiosity, that 76% need clear AI-generated labeling, and that 67% need the flexibility to filter out AI-generated music completely.

In the meantime, 79% of shoppers mentioned human creativity is important to music. Amongst shoppers open to AI in music, the main areas of curiosity had been personalised playlists or music customization (35%), AI restoring or remixing previous recordings in new codecs (33%), utilizing AI to remix, reinterpret or personalize songs (30%), and interactive or co-created music experiences (28%).

When pressed on whether or not established DSPs have already got the rights to launch AI merchandise, Nash pointed to an encouraging pipeline whereas reaching for a historic parallel.

“I’ve seen them,” he mentioned of the merchandise in growth. “They’re extremely compelling. In the identical means that I noticed ad-funded streaming, and I noticed that the dream of its streaming was going to be into premium subscription… In case you actually wish to go down reminiscence lane, I’ve gone by means of from LP Vinyl into the CD then into the digital downloads. I like what’s occurring.”


3. The superfan area ‘is massively under-monetized.’

Superfan monetization has been some of the outstanding themes in Grainge’s current communications with buyers — and the earnings name was no exception.

UMG’s direct-to-consumer enterprise has now grown to 1,600 on-line shops producing “lots of of tens of millions of {dollars} in income,” however Grainge’s argument is that this represents solely the start of what’s achievable from music’s most engaged listeners.

“I’m very bullish about superfans,” he mentioned. “Given the big demand for excellent merchandise and thrilling experiences, we imagine this section is massively under-monetized. This solely scrapes the floor of our potential.”

“I’m very bullish about superfans.”

Sir Lucian Grainge

He outlined a technique constructed not simply on UMG’s personal D2C infrastructure, however on stimulating a complete ecosystem of third-party platforms round it.

“We’ll additional scale our D2C enterprise by stimulating a complete class of third-party superfan platforms, every with its personal distinctive method and mannequin,” he mentioned. “These will function alongside the premium tiers being developed by the normal DSPs. We’re creating an ecosystem wherein particular occasions, experiences and merchandise will entice superfans in each the digital and bodily worlds. As extra competitors develops, extra innovation will outcome. Connectivity to followers will enhance, and the alternatives to drive monetization will proceed to multiply.”



Two lately introduced partnerships illustrated the technique in follow: Stationhead, a superfan platform wherein UMG acquired a minority stake in January, hosted over 250 UMG artist occasions in 2025, contributing “billions of premium UMG artist streams on subscription platforms throughout tens of millions of lively customers,” with week-of-release listening events contributing to 11 number-one albums throughout the business. Artists who ran campaigns on the platform included Sabrina Carpenter, Billie Eilish and Nicki Minaj.

Even, in the meantime, was utilized by Interscope artist J. Cole for campaigns across the tenth anniversary of Forest Hills Drive and the pre-release technique for The Fall-Off. “Each initiatives leveraged Even’s white-label resolution to succeed in lots of of hundreds of followers and promote tens of millions of {dollars} of bodily product,” Grainge mentioned. “The Even marketing campaign was a big consider The Fall-Off debuting at primary within the US.”

Grainge was eager to emphasize that neither partnership requires UMG to construct new infrastructure. “We don’t have to develop a brand new platform,” he mentioned. “Each Stationhead and Even combine instantly into UMG’s D2C structure, capturing fan information and fostering a deeper relationship between artists and followers. Superfan alternatives are quickly evolving, and we shall be proper there at each step of their evolution.”


4. Geographic enlargement: India as a template

Grainge used the geographic enlargement part of his remarks to put out what he described as UMG’s core method to high-potential markets — one constructed round a number of factors of entry slightly than a single relationship.

“UMG’s method is to create a compelling array of enterprise options that provide a number of methods for artists, labels, and entrepreneurs to have interaction with us,” he mentioned. “All the time in compliance with our strict funding standards, we accomplice with the perfect of them after which deepen the partnership over time.”

He used India as a labored instance of the technique in motion.

Common Music has operated a multi-label construction within the nation for years, however earlier in 2026, UMG supplemented that with a minority funding in Excel Leisure, a outstanding Indian movie and digital content material studio — vital, Grainge famous, “in a rustic the place unique soundtracks stay on the coronary heart of a fast-growing music market.”

UMG acquired a 30% stake in Excel in a deal that valued the Bollywood manufacturing home at 24 billion Indian rupees (approx. USD $267 million).



The deal gave UMG international distribution rights to Excel’s future soundtracks, made Common Music Publishing Group Excel’s unique publishing accomplice, and can see the 2 firms launch a devoted Excel music label.

By way of Downtown and Virgin Music Group, UMG now providers roughly 100 purchasers within the area, together with new offers with Punjabi label Juss Information and South Indian label Millennium Information.

“Whenever you take a step again, you’ll be able to see how UMG has constructed a number of factors of entry into the Indian market,” Grainge mentioned. “Every of our enterprise items operates with its personal distinctive inventive and business experience, but additionally has entry to UMG’s highly effective international programs and sources. Because of this, our skill to seize progress effectively is rising exponentially. That is an method that’s working nicely in lots of different dynamic, extremely populated markets, together with China.”

Additional strikes throughout 2025 included the launch of Deutsche Grammophon China and Blue Notice Information China, and the acquisition of A-Sketch, a outstanding Japanese music firm.

Music Enterprise Worldwide

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