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Not like China! As optimists promote India’s story, Aswath Damodaran has a warning

whysavetoday by whysavetoday
March 16, 2025
in Business
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Not like China! As optimists promote India’s story, Aswath Damodaran has a warning
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Valuation guru Aswath Damodaran has spelled out a warning of types for India’s development story because the world, led by the US, takes a extra protectionist flip. In his newest weblog put up, Damodaran stated India will face many extra hurdles in its path to realize financial development, in contrast to China which comparatively had smoother crusing in its interplay with the world a number of a long time in the past.

“Whereas buyers are being bought the India story, it’s price recognizing that India will face far more hostility from the remainder of the world, because it tries to develop, than China did throughout the previous few a long time,” he stated.

Damodaran’s feedback come because the world, together with India, grapples with the brand new actuality of commerce uncertainties, principally pushed by US President Donald Trump.

In current weeks, Trump has introduced punishing tariffs towards allies and adversaries alike, selectively paused and imposed them, doubled after which halved some, and warned that he’ll tax European wine and spirits a stratospheric 200%. So far as India is anxious, the specter of reciprocal tariffs looms massive, which the President stated will kick-in from subsequent month.

“The world that may prevail, if a commerce struggle performs out, can be very completely different than the one which existed earlier than globalization took off,” Damodaran stated.

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The commerce struggle fears have despatched the worldwide markets right into a tailspin. Final week the Nasdaq recorded one of many largest declines seen within the current previous. The index recovered a bit within the following periods.In India too, investor sentiment was weighed down by escalating commerce tensions, which pose a threat to world financial restoration. Considerations over persistent FII outflows and the potential repercussions of US tariffs on India Inc additional dampened market confidence, elevating uncertainty over This autumn earnings. FIIs recorded internet outflows of Rs 5,729 crore within the money phase.Analysts say continuous coverage pivots from the administration on tariffs have left buyers unsure about what’s to come back and the way the economic system could also be affected.

The broader horizon, going ahead, is crammed with darkish, ominous clouds, pushed by some key macro occasions. The US Fed will announce its resolution on rates of interest later this week, which can give a touch in the marketplace path going ahead.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, solutions, views and opinions given by the specialists are their very own. These don’t characterize the views of the Financial Instances)

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