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Hong Kong’s IPO Increase: Gateway or Danger Entice for Buyers?

whysavetoday by whysavetoday
October 9, 2025
in Investment
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Hong Kong’s IPO Increase: Gateway or Danger Entice for Buyers?
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Hong Kong market’s IPO reforms, efficient this month, reshape how offers are priced and who will get entry. For traders, this marks a pivotal shift in market integrity and allocation equity. The influence is already seen. On this yr’s first half, corporations itemizing on Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Restricted (HKEX) raised $14 billion (HK$109 billion). Mainland China battery producer and know-how firm CATL’s $4.6 billion providing, the biggest IPO worldwide to this point this yr, underscores investor urge for food for Mainland Chinese language listings.

For traders, the surge indicators each alternative and threat: Hong Kong has reasserted itself because the offshore gateway for Mainland Chinese language corporations, however with that dominance comes heavy publicity to its financial system.

The size of the rebound marks a pointy break from the final three years, when world tightening, weak sentiment, and geopolitical shocks saved Hong Kong’s fairness market subdued. What modified in 2025 was a convergence of push elements inside Mainland China (deflation, tighter onshore guidelines, and slowing development) with pull elements in Hong Kong (reforms and capital flexibility making town the pure outlet). Collectively, these forces clarify why Mainland Chinese language corporations have returned in such energy, and why the resurgence of Hong Kong’s trade appears totally different from previous cycles.

Determine 1. HKEX IPO Developments

Supply: HKEX, SEC. Be aware: Minor variations in decimal values between charts resulted from FX conversion rounding.

A Market Reawakens: The Drivers Behind HKEX’s 2025 IPO Increase

After three years of market slowdown amid world financial tightening and geopolitical fractures, the capital market of Hong Kong has witnessed a outstanding revival. The hanging turnaround is pushed predominantly by privately owned Mainland Chinese language corporations in search of offshore capital, which consists of 90% of the full fundraising. HKEX stands out as the highest most popular itemizing venue for Mainland Chinese language corporations in comparison with its onshore counterparts.

Since Mainland China’s financial reform within the late 20th century, three onshore inventory exchanges have been established: first Shanghai, adopted by Shenzhen, after which Beijing. Collectively, these exchanges grew to become engines of capital formation, enabling state-owned enterprises (SOEs), personal corporations, and revolutionary startups to boost capital at scale, as Mainland China’s financial system bloomed from the Nineties by the 2010s.

Nevertheless, the political and financial nature of the Mainland China market, with capital controls and strict regulatory necessities, limits overseas entry. These elements contributed to the attraction of HKEX as an offshore itemizing venue and some extent of entry for overseas traders to realize publicity to the Mainland China capital market.

Determine 2. Comparability between Better China Exchanges

  Shanghai (SSE) Shenzhen (SZSE) Beijing (BSE) Hong Kong (HKEX)
Established 1990 1990 2021 1891
Market Cap (USD) $ 6.6 trillion $ 4.38 trillion $63.6 billion $4.1 trillion
# of Listed Corporations 2,263 2,853 239 2,609
Buying and selling Forex CNY CNY CNY HKD
Each day Value Restrict ±10% ±10% ±30% on debut, ±10% thereafter No restrict
Sector Focus SOEs, blue chips SMEs, startups Early-stage SMEs International Itemizing
Overseas Entry Restricted Restricted Very Restricted Full Entry
Regulator CSRC CSRC CSRC SFC (through HKEX)

Supply: ExpatInvestChina.

Hong Kong SAR, established beneath British rule and preserved after the 1997 handover beneath “One Nation, Two Programs,” retains options that set it aside from mainland venues. This consists of widespread regulation construction, world entry, and free capital flows. These options proceed to make HKEX the pure offshore gateway for Mainland Chinese language corporations.

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Push Elements from China

Mainland China’s post-COVID slowdown, marked by deflation and property market challenges, has left personal corporations squeezed by worth wars and shrinking margins. With out state backing, many have little selection however to hunt overseas capital, a dynamic pushing listings to Hong Kong.

Mainland China is a policy-driven financial system. In 2024, the China Securities Regulatory Fee (CSRC) tightened IPO approvals, particularly for unprofitable or early-stage corporations. In consequence, onshore fundraising collapsed to $9.3 billion throughout 101 IPOs, down 83% yr over yr. Within the first half of 2025, mainland exchanges raised solely $4.7 billion, lower than one-third of what corporations listed on HKEX raised in the identical interval.

Pull Elements from Hong Kong

The basic attraction of HKEX over its onshore counterparts lies in its absolutely open nature, with its forex, the Hong Kong greenback, as a freely convertible forex pegged to the US greenback. The free move of capital and convertibility into laborious forex are important for any firm working on a worldwide scale. That can also be true for early-stage traders and founding members of the privately owned corporations contemplating exit methods.

Hong Kong is considered a particular administrative area by Mainland China, and the A+H itemizing mannequin is very inspired. That’s, twin listings the place a mainland Chinese language firm has its shares traded on each a inventory trade in mainland China (A-shares) and Hong Kong’s trade (H-shares). On this yr’s first half, 21 out of 44 IPOs are A+H listings, a rise of 110% YoY.

HKEX Structural Reforms

Current reforms have reshaped how corporations come to market in Hong Kong and the way traders can entry them. The brand new Expertise Enterprises Channel[1] supplies a confidential quick observe for specialist tech and biotech corporations, sectors closely backed in China. A+H listings[2] can now be authorized in simply 65 days, accelerating provide. On the identical time, HKEX lowered its public float requirement from 15% to 10% and minimize the retail allocation cap from 50% to 35%.

For traders, these adjustments imply two issues: sooner deal move, but additionally much less safety. Massive Mainland Chinese language issuers can now carry sizable choices to market extra rapidly whereas retaining extra management, which advantages institutional allocations on the expense of retail entry. Decreased float and tighter retail caps could enhance pricing effectivity within the quick run, however they heighten considerations about liquidity and governance in the long run. In brief, entry has improved for giant traders, whereas dangers for smaller traders have elevated.

What it Means for Buyers

For traders, Hong Kong’s IPO growth presents each alternative and threat. On the upside, HKEX gives entry to Mainland China’s most dynamic personal corporations. On the draw back, the market is very concentrated: roughly 80% of HKEX’s capitalization is tied to Mainland Chinese language issuers, leaving traders uncovered to adjustments in Chinese language coverage and geopolitical occasions. Persistent valuation reductions versus world friends increase additional questions on long-term returns. The trade-off is obvious: Hong Kong supplies a gateway to Mainland China’s development tales, however just for traders keen to just accept focus and volatility as the value of entry.

That is the primary in a three-part sequence. Half II will discover how Hong Kong’s positioning stacks up towards world exchanges, and what meaning for long-term capital allocation; Half III will likely be an advocacy-focused joint piece with CFA Society Hong Kong, analyzing the latest reforms, IPO worth discovery, and open market necessities.


References
Hong Kong’s IPO Increase Roars Again: Contained in the $14 Billion First-Half Surge and What’s Driving It
Hong Kong’s ECM Panorama in 1 2025

HKEX Posts Report Q1 Revenue Amid Surge in IPOs and Buying and selling Quantity – Beijing Instances

Chinese language Mainland and HK IPO Markets 2025 mid-year – KPMG China

What China’s itemizing frenzy in Hong Kong means for traders | The Straits Instances

China’s Belt and Street funding hits document highs in 2025, pushed by vitality, mining and tech sectors – Griffith Information

PwC Hong Kong: PwC: 2025 poised to be probably the most energetic IPO marketplace for Hong Kong in 4 years; fundraising anticipated to rank no.1 globally

Mainland China IPOs Drop in 2025 Amidst Regulatory Crackdown – Information and Statistics – IndexBox

China Inventory Exchanges In contrast


[1] Expertise Enterprises Channel (TECH): Launched in Might 2025 collectively by HKEX and SFC, Expertise Enterprises Channel (TECH), designed to help Specialist Expertise Firms and Biotech Firms to streamline the IPO processes.

[2] Accelerated Timeframe for Eligible A-share Listed Firms: Introduced on Oct 18, 2024 collectively by HKEX and SFC, Joint Assertion on Enhanced Timeframe for New Itemizing Software Course of


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